Iowa Gives First Hint At How Reliable Trump Polling Is

Trump came in second, which is not at all what he was predicted to do.
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Iowa Gives First Hint At How Reliable Trump Polling Is

Donald Trump just came in second in Iowa.

Clearly, that's interesting because it wasn't in line with the months of predictions on how he would do.

RealClearPolitics' average of Iowa polls since August showed Trump in the lead, besides brief leads from Ben Carson and Ted Cruz.

And leading up to the caucuses, trusted pollsters had Trump ahead in Iowa with 28 percent, with Cruz in second with 23 percent.

All along, pundits said the polls might not be showing reality, his campaign might not have the actual organization to turn out caucusgoers, voters might change their minds when it came down to it.

Now, with results from the first state in the nation, we have the beginnings of an answer to whether or not that’s true. 

At least in Iowa, those polls were wrong. For the first time in the 2016 race, conventional wisdom may have actually held true.

This video includes Getty Images.

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