(Image source: Flickr / marcopako)

 

BY JIM FLINK

 

ANCHOR LAUREN GORES


Is Apple about to fall from the tree of prosperity? That’s the premise of the latest post on George Colony’s Blog on Forrester.com, also published in Forbes.


In that blog, Colony predicts a dire future for Apple, comparing it to (gasp) Sony.  In Colony’s words...

“When Steve Jobs departed, he took three things with him: 1) singular charismatic leadership... 2) the ability to take big risks, and 3) an unparalleled ability to envision and design products. Apple's momentum will carry it for 24-48 months.”

But — without Jobs — Colony predicts an eventual “commensurate step down in revenue growth and product innovation.”

Now, this isn’t just some fly-by-night blogger.

CNN calls Colony — a top analyst — noting he’s the CEO of a preeminent tech research firm. While, at the same time, pointing out Colony is definitely NOT talking about the here and now.

“This week, Apple reported doubling its profits in the first three months of the year, largely on the strength of the 35.1 million iPhones it sold.”

And — CNN notes — Apple also says it sold nearly 12 million iPads and nearly 8 million iPods during that quarter. Daring Fireball’s John Gruber says, while he doesn’t necessarily agree with Colony, he also thinks his reasoning is sound.

“Apple did not fall to pieces when Jobs died, but no one with a clue expected it to. But Tim Cook and the remaining leadership team have yet to prove themselves in the long run...”

Now, one person’s logic is another’s rubbish. Over at TechCrunch, John Biggs parodies this prediction, if not outright lambasts it — in fact calling it a “short-sighted” “bit of drivel.”

“Rather than seeing a number of vibrant companies duking it out for market share, Colony sees a darkling plain where ignorant armies clash by night.”

Still others like ZDNet see this as a direct jab on the workmanlike Cook, noting, the focus on charisma is a bit over the top.

“Colony partially dismisses Cook’s charisma and creativity. I’d argue he’s just looking at the wrong part of the company. Apple’s supply chain—largely created by Cook—is a work of art.”

Want to see Colony’s full posting?  Check out the link in our transcript section.

Tech Analyst Says Apple Will Fall From Prosperity

by Jim Flink
0
Transcript
Apr 26, 2012

Tech Analyst Says Apple Will Fall From Prosperity

(Image source: Flickr / marcopako)

 

BY JIM FLINK

 

ANCHOR LAUREN GORES


Is Apple about to fall from the tree of prosperity? That’s the premise of the latest post on George Colony’s Blog on Forrester.com, also published in Forbes.


In that blog, Colony predicts a dire future for Apple, comparing it to (gasp) Sony.  In Colony’s words...

“When Steve Jobs departed, he took three things with him: 1) singular charismatic leadership... 2) the ability to take big risks, and 3) an unparalleled ability to envision and design products. Apple's momentum will carry it for 24-48 months.”

But — without Jobs — Colony predicts an eventual “commensurate step down in revenue growth and product innovation.”

Now, this isn’t just some fly-by-night blogger.

CNN calls Colony — a top analyst — noting he’s the CEO of a preeminent tech research firm. While, at the same time, pointing out Colony is definitely NOT talking about the here and now.

“This week, Apple reported doubling its profits in the first three months of the year, largely on the strength of the 35.1 million iPhones it sold.”

And — CNN notes — Apple also says it sold nearly 12 million iPads and nearly 8 million iPods during that quarter. Daring Fireball’s John Gruber says, while he doesn’t necessarily agree with Colony, he also thinks his reasoning is sound.

“Apple did not fall to pieces when Jobs died, but no one with a clue expected it to. But Tim Cook and the remaining leadership team have yet to prove themselves in the long run...”

Now, one person’s logic is another’s rubbish. Over at TechCrunch, John Biggs parodies this prediction, if not outright lambasts it — in fact calling it a “short-sighted” “bit of drivel.”

“Rather than seeing a number of vibrant companies duking it out for market share, Colony sees a darkling plain where ignorant armies clash by night.”

Still others like ZDNet see this as a direct jab on the workmanlike Cook, noting, the focus on charisma is a bit over the top.

“Colony partially dismisses Cook’s charisma and creativity. I’d argue he’s just looking at the wrong part of the company. Apple’s supply chain—largely created by Cook—is a work of art.”

Want to see Colony’s full posting?  Check out the link in our transcript section.

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